DRF Tournaments
Carsoni
Wins/Races Profit (loss)
0/12 ($24.00)

Gallorette

Win: Stallion Heiress
Place: Elysea's World
Show: Blessed Silence

 

Comments:
Stallion Heiress was fast when she first started racing, then something went wrong. She's back in her 3rd off a layoff as a fresh 4YO. She might improve enough to win here. Elysea's World will be a huge underlay but you have to include her in the 12% takeout pick 5.

Maryland Sprint

Win: Irish Colonel
Place: Laki
Show: Fellowship

 

Comments:
This race is insanely competitive. Of the 9 horses I think I have to use 7 in the pick 5 and hope the Chad Brown doesn't win at 2-1. Irish Colonel is about as fast as these, and he loves the mud. In April 2017 he ran a big top in the mud at 8-1. He's going to like these conditions. Others might too. But I'm going with the price on a horse that is about as fast as the others and could go off higher than his 10-1 ML.

It's neck and neck for me with Laki. He's even higher ML but somehow I just don't believe he'll go off that high. He just matched his top and is 3rd off a layoff.

Lewisfield is fastest but only 7-2. He's a use.

I also like Red Dragon Tattoo, Switzerland, Fellowship, and Long Haul Bay. Would not touch this race outside of the pick 5. And I just might have to use all since you don't want to go 7-deep and get beat by Heartwood, who loves the mud.

The Very One

Win: Anna's Bandit
Place: Victorias Fire
Show: Keep Your Distance

 

Comments:
This race is nuts! Anna's Bandit has won 4 in a row, and won her debut as a young 2YO on slop. She can take this at 20-1. Victoria's Fire is running huge works at Finger Lakes! She could shock them today. I'll be going deep in the pick 5.

Preakness

Win: Good Magic
Place: Tenfold
Show: Justify

 

Comments:
Good Magic has something Justify does not: serious foundation. He's never regressed, and while he could today, he's got the best chance at improving. In Chad we trust.

Justify is a freak but when I look at that sheet it just says reaction to me. The track is going to be a bog. I think if he's ever going to be beat, it's today.

I'm interested in two others. Sporting Chance has always been fast and is due to run big a la Bravazo in his last.

Tenfold has improved every race, and I always respect Curlin's with stout breeding on the damside, which this one has. I will use those 4 in the pick 5 and not make any other bet in this race.


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